Pick a game.
Win-probability path (home perspective)
No game loaded.
Neutral model — no team-strength inputs. Gaps are states the model declines to value.
Event ledger
| Inn | Event | Outs | Bases | R | Run value | WP before | WPA | LI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No game loaded. | ||||||||
Every 2025 regular-season game, event by event: base-out state, context-neutral run value, and the neutral win-probability path. Values are immutable model outputs — nothing is calculated in your browser. A dash means the value is honestly undefined (sparse state or an automatic-runner inning), never invented.
Neutral model — no team-strength inputs. Gaps are states the model declines to value.
| Inn | Event | Outs | Bases | R | Run value | WP before | WPA | LI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No game loaded. | ||||||||