Research preview · 2025 completed season
Game explorer
Every 2025 regular-season game, event by event: base-out state, context-neutral run value, and the neutral win-probability path. Values are immutable model outputs — nothing is calculated in your browser. A dash means the value is honestly undefined (sparse state or an automatic-runner inning), never invented.
Pick a game.
Win-probability path (home perspective)
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Neutral model — no team-strength inputs. Gaps are states the model declines to value. The event ledger below carries the same WP figures row by row and is the accessible equivalent of this path.
The game’s turning points
The largest published win-probability moves of this game — the state each one happened in, who was batting, and the exact scorer’s notation. Selection: the three largest absolute WPA values; ties broken by source line.
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Event ledger
| Inn | Batter | Event | State | R | Score after | Run value | WP before | WPA | LI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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